David Levi Strauss / Dispatch

Dispatch 10: A Trump Bump on Bernie Night

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I awoke this morning to the sounds of Democratic discord, as DNC Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz tried to speak at a Florida delegation breakfast and was jeered off the stage by Sanders supporters. Yesterday afternoon, Jon went down to the Convention Center to see thousands of energetic Bernie supporters march to the Wells Fargo Arena in 96-degree heat. The people he interviewed, who are representative of the whole group, will have a very hard time voting for Hillary. Everything these voters say about Hillary is true, unfortunately. For them to switch and vote for her, they’re going to have to set all that aside. They may do that, but they will do it reluctantly. They are officially Depressed Voters, and there are a lot of them.

CNN polls now have Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton by five points, if the election was held today. The post-convention Trump Bump swelled to nine points with independent voters. Sixty-eight percent of voters now say they don’t trust Hillary Clinton.

In what increasingly appears to be the New Normal, another mass shooting occurred in Fort Meyers, Florida, with two dead and up to 16 wounded.

Michael Moore’s blog in The Huffington Post on Saturday lists “5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win,” including, “Midwest Math, or Welcome to Our Rust Belt Brexit” (Trump will win Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to put him over the top), “The Last Stand of the Angry White Man,” “The Hillary Problem,” “The Depressed Sanders Vote,” and “The Jesse Ventura Effect.” The last reason is one of the most convincing. “Finally, do not discount the electorate’s ability to be mischievous or underestimate how many millions fancy themselves as closet anarchists once they draw the curtain and are all alone in the voting booth . . . . Millions are going to vote for Trump not because they agree with him, not because they like his bigotry or ego, but just because they can. Just because it will upset the apple cart . . . .” www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-moore/5-reasons-why-trump-will-_b_11156794.html

This is Bernie’s night at the Convention, and he has his work cut out for him. He likes that.  This week in Philadelphia, the Democrats are going to have to wake up and get it together. If they don’t, the past fourteen years of your life will hereafter be known as the Weimar period.

David Levi Strauss
Monday, July 25, 2016, 11:55 am

[Photograph by Jon Winet: “Curtains. Political Fest.” July 23, 2016. Click on image to see an enlargement.]

LINK to all David Levi Strauss Power 2016 Dispatches

2 thoughts on “Dispatch 10: A Trump Bump on Bernie Night

  1. While this was written before Bernie spoke, it didn’t read as such and passed along Michael Moore’s pre-convention DOA resignation with a sense of acceptance. There are other voices out there, and I think the Daily KOS offers a different vieww. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/6/11/1537582/-The-most-thorough-profound-and-moving-defense-of-Hillary-Clinton-I-have-ever-seen To quote Auden
    “The sense of danger must not disappear:
    The way is certainly both short and steep,
    However gradual it looks from here;
    Look if you like, but you will have to leap.”

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  2. A colleague sent this message to Jon “Michael Moore … was on Bill Maher’s show making the same argument last week. Of course Moore is right to challenge the complacency of all of us “informed” and “rational” folks who assume that Trump couldn’t possibly win. How old do you have to be to remember Ronald Reagan in 1980? Anti-intellectualism has always been a powerful presence in American politics — its forces now have an electable candidate running against a deeply flawed and unpopular opponent.”

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